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Bayesian Nonparametric Models for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity: Model Parameterization, Prior Choice, and Posterior Summarization

[Virtual] Hot Topics: Foundations of Stable, Generalizable and Transferable Statistical Learning March 07, 2022 - March 10, 2022

March 10, 2022 (08:30 AM PST - 08:55 AM PST)
Speaker(s): Jared Murray (University of Texas, Austin)
Location: SLMath: Online/Virtual
Primary Mathematics Subject Classification No Primary AMS MSC
Secondary Mathematics Subject Classification No Secondary AMS MSC
Video

Bayesian Nonparametric Models For Treatment Effect Heterogeneity: Model Parameterization, Prior Choice, And Posterior Summarization

Abstract

Bayesian nonparametric models are a popular and effective tool for inferring the heterogeneous effects of interventions. I will discuss how to carefully specify models and prior distributions to apply judicious regularization of heterogeneous effects. I will also discuss how to extract answers to scientific and policy questions from a fitted nonparametric model using posterior summarization to avoid problems incurred by using competing or incompatible model specifications for targeting different estimands. Together these tools provide a general recipe for obtaining stable, generalizable and transferrable insights about heterogeneous effects.

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Bayesian Nonparametric Models For Treatment Effect Heterogeneity: Model Parameterization, Prior Choice, And Posterior Summarization

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